If they had that system, it would give faster results and cut down on the bogus conspiracy theories about fraud that inevitably arise when results are too slow to trickle in. His winning margin there was roughly 250,000 votes. Brian Kempâs appointment of Kelly Loeffler that led to an intraparty war between her and Rep. Doug Collins, all but guaranteeing a runoff in the special election for the rest of Isakson's term. That's going to prove very helpful in breaking down the results county-by-county with all of you tonight. Steven where are things with absentee/mail-in ballots? Just ask Jon Ossoff's first opponent, Charlie! My kingdom for any sort of metro Atlanta election day voting before I answer that question, Charlie. Weary election workers are preparing for the races on strained resources, two months after Joe Biden's narrow Georgia win. Excited to be here. That was a revealing story -- if these Columbus numbers hold, it suggests all those Dem efforts were successful. Georgia is on track to be majority-minority by 2030. <, How Georgiaâs Senate race pits the Old South against the New South, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/17/georgia-senate-race-447466, âItâs nonstopâ: Georgia Senate battles rage far from Atlanta. It's hard to draw any conclusions without that information â folks I talked to before today said they were watching that region above all others tonight. He spent a lot of time in these runoffs outside Atlanta trying to improve his image/perception all around the state, Maya Stylistically, Ossoff seems more suited to metro Atlanta than Valdosta, Over a million votes in and reported, now ... so we're a quarter(ish) of the way there, During the November elections, Perdue escaped being defined. I'm hearing that I'm going to need more coffee, Marc. Charlie I'm pretty sure it won't take a lot to get people hyperventilating tonight... Exit polls, Charlie and Zach. Some precincts are reporting in Fulton now ... but that really holds the key to all of it. Iâm going to be watching the vote compared to Novemberâs baselines in a handful of places â metro Atlanta, rural majority-Black counties, Trump country. From his name to his demeanor, Perdue is very Georgia. True bookends to elections in the Trump presidency, potentially, Consider: Perdue is up by about 100k votes. Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R), the target of repeated threats for his role in the 2020 election, was evacuated from his offices Wednesday amid demonstrations. Now Republicans felt good about turnout in Cherokee County, which is in the Atlanta media market and is a big one that Trump won with nearly 70% of the vote in November. I think Warnock would be the first popularly elected Black Democratic senator from the South, the second ever from the region. Election nights on Slack, instead of the newsroom, just aren't the same! But there is helpful precedent for breaking it down tonight: We just had a closely divided election in Georgia two months ago. And of course, a split decision is not good enough for Democrats, who need both seats to win the Senate. Anyone who is familiar with how elections are run, or has covered elections, recognizes that populous cities or counties often drop big tranches of votes at various points in the evening. Took you 34 minutes to attack me, Charlie. As a point of reference, Biden crushed Trump there by 18 points in November. And the numbers look better for Perdue. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. So what do we know about the early vote, either anecdotally or through available data? It all adds up to this: Almost all the votes are in. I think for a lot of voters, particularly Black voters, Warnock feels like a known/familiar entity. Because I am very militant about my Price is Right strategy, You got those jeopardy test-taking skills, Charlie My guess: Gore lost Gwinnett by 18 points, Zach Interesting point, and something we saw play out in 2018 at the House level. We should focus on those.Â, Zach Iâm sure somewhere on Twitter someone is hyperventilating based on a few percent reporting in Fulton County. Track results from the Georgia Senate runoff election. Biden “won” Georgia by roughly 12,000 votes. Republicans say itâs closer to 130k CharlieÂ. "It is going to be a long night," Sterling said. Worth noting that the statement from Trump is dated "January 5, 2020". I love when Steven uses words like co-terminous. Marc Perdue also didn't have to run in a vicious primary. Biden won Washington in November, though, Would you look at that: There is a county that flipped from Perdue to Ossoff, going from November to now: Washington County, a bit east of Macon, which would be approximately the halfway point, We are quickly approaching the 2 million vote mark. Steven Perdue has made that precise point repeatedly on the campaign trail. He says these are close races, something could ultimately fall in that .5 percent threshold, in which the losing candidate can request a recount. We really donât know. Also, Loeffler isn't a native Southerner, and for some folks, that makes a difference. At two events I was at last week, he said in any other state he would have won already (which is not quite correct, a few others have runoffs) and said 52.5% of the electorate rejected Ossoff in November. Polls have been closed for a little over 2 hours. Tonight Iâm looking at the results out of Georgiaâs rural counties, places Democrats once all but conceded to Republicans but have poured lots of money and resources into this time around. Well, we've been going at this for more than five hours now -- if you've been with us the whole time, you deserve a medal. He skipped a debate. I regret to inform everyone that some of the right wing traffickers of misinformation on Twitter are laying the groundwork for more complaints of widespread election fraud, which will largely be baseless if they happen to resemble their claims from November. (If that were to happen, the Senate would be evenly divided 50-50 and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris would serve as the tie-breaking vote for Democrats.) And there's nothing nefarious about the fact that counties with more voters take longer to count votes. You edited the story, Charlie. Speaking of Jim Crow relics, Marc, let's remember why we're here in the first place: Georgia's runoff system. On Nov. 3, Biden won 61 percent in Muscogee County and Ossoff won 60 percent -- that's Columbus, the third-largest city in the state. Jumping off that Marc Steven -- I was looking up the numbers earlier today. A lot still depends on turnout variations here and there which is tougher to get into, and remember Perdue and Loeffler are overperforming in some places too. âIt really depends on how many absentee ballots.". So DeKalb aint the whole ballgame. This revelation immediately flips the state for Trump. Estimated vote counts are provided by the Associated Press and informed by past turnout, advance votes cast and early returns. At the moment, with 48% of estimated votes reporting, both Warnock and Ossoff are at 74% in Muscogee County. POLITICO - Live 2021 Georgia election results and maps by county. I almost included it in the preview we published this morning. So Iâm looking to see if those demographic shifts that flipped the state blue will make a difference in tonightâs runoffs. It is likely to swing back and forth as votes come in from different areas, and it could seesaw throughout the night. So we're more than halfway through with the count and it's tiiiiight. Hey, James & Zach: what's the best estimate of total turnout on Election Day? And the music industry is big there, too. I'll bet he's treated like a rock star at the next election administrators convention. Several outlets have already called the second runoff for Jon Ossoff. ATLANTA (WALB) - All 159 Georgia counties have certified their results in the Jan. 5 runoff elections. Thanks for asking Zach! Shameless plug of my Columbus story, Charlie https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/17/georgia-senate-race-447466. Steven A few of those metro Atlanta counties have over 80% of estimated votes reported (Rockdale/Clayton/Douglas). Good point Maya. Live U.S. Senate election results from Georgia | Jan. 5, 2021 With 76% of the expected vote in, Republican David Perdue leads Democrat Jon Ossoff, 50.7% to 49.3%. Loeffler, meanwhile, turned ** much ** harder right in her jungle primary. This can see-saw really quickly, and I wouldn't assume Democratic voters are going to stay this activated (or anywhere close) 22 months from now either. It takes election officials time to process and tally mail ballots ... and at least a million of them have been returned for the runoffs. Georgia voters will determine the balance of the U.S. Senate as they elect both Senate seats. Gabriel Sterling took aim at the president as the two Senate runoffs appeared very close. Peach State voters will decide whether Republicans David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler return to Washington or if Democratic challengers Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock take their place. — Fred Smith (@fredosmithjr) January 6, 2021. More than 3.75m ballots have been cast. Don't fact check me on that. Especially in the South Elena, as more immigrants and young people move away from big northern cities, That's fascinating, Zach. Out of roughly 4.3 million votes cast. This means that it was illegal. The list goes on.... Another very early observation: With 28% reporting, Ossoff is running well ahead of his Nov. 3 pace in Gwinnett County, a populous Atlanta suburb. While his party is engaged in nail-biting over the fate of its Senate majority, President Trump just released the following statement. Amen to that. It evaporated as all the votes were finally counted. If not, Biden will be working with a Republican Senate and Democratic House -- a divided government scenario which will make it much more difficult for Biden to implement his agenda. The ground games are impressive indeed, James. Right now, Perdue is up 14k statewide over Ossoff and Loeffler is down 20k against Warnock. Muscogee County (Columbus) Anyone caught cheating will have their expense accounts scrutinized to the fullest extent. -- Plus, do they count the same ways at the same time across the state? That is the mail ballots that were received today before close of polls. I am really looking forward to some Election Day votes from metro Atlanta to get a full picture. Instead, itâs a confederation of counties. The rapid political transformation of places like Cobb and Gwinnett counties, one-time GOP strongholds, continues to amaze me. ElenaÂ, I have a feeling these races won't be the blowout that the Heisman was this year. The Black church and politics are inextricably linked in Atlanta. The smartest and dumbest thing said in politics is that itâs all about turnout. And, it goes without saying, but the president is lying about the a vote dump, While we're talking about election administrators: I think the folks in Georgia really do deserve an attaboy for this election. Georgia Senate runoff election results 2021 The dual runoff elections will decide which party controls the Senate. The Ossoff campaign has also made clear his ties to giants in Georgia's civil rights and Black communities like John Lewis and Hank Johnson, who he worked for in college. Looks like the Republican Senate candidates are outperforming what they and Trump did in November by a few points in that completed county that Zach just referenced (Webster). Whatâs the over/under on a Fulton Snafu? All four ran Nov. 3, but none got enough votes under state law to win the Senate seats outright, forcing Tuesday's runoffs. What are you watching for tonight? With Ossoff and Raphael Warnock's wins over Georgia… So he could wind up being up by 45k. And as Maya reported in her excellent story about Georgia and the New South, the immigrant population jumped 84 percent between 2010 and 2018>. Maya I'm curious to see how cities outside Atlanta do, too. From some smaller counties, Zach. Also, congrats to the teeny tiny Webster County. It was first published on Jan. 5, 2021. Elena that makes sense. Speaking of people spreading conspiracy theories ... just got a fundraising text from the president with a conspiracy theory in it! Zach I'm afraid I'm not familiar with those rules. Jon Ossoff (D) 49.98%, Raphael Warnock (D) 50.40% Senators. I scooped the details that Facebook was going to fully reinstate it's political ad ban, after making an exemption for the Georgia runoffs. I wonder Charlie if itâs a leading indicator of the underlying belief by many conservatives that theyâll lose this election.Â. For decades, the two suburban giants voted in tandem, almost always delivering solid Republican margins. Georgia election results are provided by the Associated Press. By. Charlie, I think Cobb & Gwinett counties are a tale of demographics. So thatâs right in the middle. Sterling said we are approaching 3 million votes counted in the state -- but he doesn't have an estimate for how many people voted today quite yet. Sure, Warnock is ahead. But you can live a lot larger there than in NYC. The closer we are, the longer it will stretch. With 3.4m votes in, it stands to reason that almost 70% of the vote is in. What I'm watching tonight: The clock! Gabriel Sterling is up with another live press conference: 27,600 advance votes yet to come in, across the state. Even though Dems ultimately won that, Trump's last-minute rally there, per Republicans at the time, put it closer than it was. results, Raphael Warnock is outpacing Jon Ossoff in terms of margin. Charlie And he had the benefit of huge name recognition there thanks to the House race in '17. For the record, DeKalb delivered big for Dems in November -- Biden won by a landslide, 83-16. Yeah Andrew, theyâve got so much money to burn that theyâre flying planes with banners. 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